Hobart Hurricanes face Melbourne Renegades on December 29 in Match 15 of BBL 2025-26 at Bellerive Oval.
This venue plays a crucial role in fantasy selection due to specific pitch characteristics and weather patterns.
The Hurricanes hold second position while the Renegades sit bottom, but venue conditions matter more than current form.
Bellerive Oval provides home advantage through familiarity with pitch behavior and crosswind patterns.
The Hurricanes have won eight consecutive matches here, understanding condition-specific batting and bowling approaches.
Visiting teams struggle to adapt to the unique venue characteristics.
Fantasy selection must prioritize players who handle early seam movement and utilize long square boundaries.
Conditions at this venue create specific scoring patterns that differ from other BBL grounds.
Weather interaction with pitch behavior determines which player types accumulate maximum points.
The Derwent River location creates crosswinds affecting swing bowling and high catches.
Pitch firmness changes during matches, favoring different bowling styles at different stages.
Fantasy teams need players suited to Bellerive’s conditions rather than general form metrics.
Venue history shows pacers take early wickets while spinners control middle overs.
Batters who survive the power play score heavily later.
Contents
- 1 HUR vs REN Dream11 Prediction Today
- 1.1 HUR vs REN Dream11 Prediction Today BBL on 29 Dec 2025
- 1.2 Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades Match Preview
- 1.3 Pitch Report
- 1.4 Weather Report
- 1.5 Toss Prediction
- 1.6 Injury Updates
- 1.7 Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades Head-to-Head Records
- 1.8 Last Five Matches
- 1.9 Top Picks For The Match
- 1.10 Conclusion:
HUR vs REN Dream11 Prediction Today
These condition-based patterns guide fantasy selection more reliably than team rankings.
HUR vs REN Dream11 Prediction Today BBL on 29 Dec 2025
| Detail | Information |
|---|---|
| Match | Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades |
| Date | 29 December 2025 |
| Time | 7:15 PM Local / 1:45 PM IST |
| Venue | Bellerive Oval (Ninja Stadium), Hobart |
| Tournament | Big Bash League 2025-26 |
Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades Match Preview
The Hurricanes understand Bellerive’s pitch evolution from a seaming surface to a batting-friendly wicket.
Their eight-match winning streak at this venue demonstrates condition mastery. Players like Nikhil Chaudhary and Ben McDermott have scored 161 runs and 648 career runs, respectively, against opponents here.
The Renegades have not won at Bellerive since 2017, losing six consecutive matches. Their batting lineup struggles with early movement conditions.
Tim Seifert’s 136 runs show individual adaptation ability, but team-wide adjustment remains problematic.
Successful batting at Bellerive requires technical defense during power play, followed by aggressive acceleration.
The pitch offers true bounce after initial movement settles. Batters who survive the first six overs typically convert starts into substantial scores on a flattening surface.
Bowling success depends on exploiting early seam movement with disciplined lines.
Nathan Ellis uses the new ball swing effectively at this venue. Spinners gain assistance from long square boundaries during the middle overs, forcing batters into risky shots.
The previous encounter at this ground saw the Hurricanes chase successfully with seven wickets remaining.
Chaudhary scored 79 off 38 balls, demonstrating knowledge of when pitch conditions favor acceleration.
The Renegades collapsed under pressure from venue-suited bowling approaches.
Pitch Report
| Aspect | Details |
|---|---|
| Pitch Type | Balanced with early seam movement |
| Avg 1st Innings Score | 160-170 runs |
| Pace vs Spin | Pacers strike early, spinners control middle overs |
| Boundary Size Impact | Long square boundaries assist spinners |
| Batting Difficulty | Challenging first 6 overs, eases after powerplay |
| Toss Influence | Batting first provides stability advantage |
The Bellerive surface offers lateral movement for the first six overs due to grass coverage and moisture retention.
Fast bowlers who bowl fuller lengths gain swing and seam movement.
Fantasy points accumulate for opening bowlers through early wickets when batters face technical challenges.
Pitch firmness increases after a power play as the grass gets worn and moisture evaporates. Stroke play becomes easier with true bounce, allowing drives and pulls.
Middle-order batters gain fantasy value through easier scoring conditions once the ball loses hardness.
Weather Report
| Condition | Details |
|---|---|
| Temperature | High 20°C / Low 15°C |
| Humidity | 45-50% |
| Wind | Light to moderate crosswinds |
| Rain Chance | 0% |
| Overall Condition | Clear evening, ideal for cricket |
Crosswinds from the Derwent River amplify swing bowling during the opening overs. Seamers bowling into the wind gain additional lateral movement.
Bowlers operating with crosswind assistance accumulate wickets through edges and LBW dismissals, creating fantasy point opportunities.
High catches become difficult for fielders with the wind affecting the ball’s trajectory.
Boundary fielders face challenges judging catches, potentially dropping opportunities, but also taking spectacular catches for bonus points.
Wicketkeepers gain stable catching conditions without wind interference behind stumps.
Toss Prediction
Teams batting first at Bellerive have won 60% of matches this BBL season.
Setting targets allows batters to navigate known conditions without chasing pressure.
First innings batting provides time for players to adjust to pitch behavior through different phases.
Bowling first exposes chasing teams to pressure under lights with altered visibility.
The pitch plays similarly across innings, but psychological pressure affects the chasing team’s execution.
Death bowlers defending totals gain wicket-taking opportunities through batter desperation.
The winning captain will choose to bat first and target 165-170 based on venue averages.
Teams batting second face compounded pressure from required run rates and wicket preservation.
Venue statistics favor first innings batters across multiple fantasy-relevant metrics.
Injury Updates
Hobart Hurricanes
- Tim David is unavailable due to a hamstring injury
- Matthew Wade returns from a minor issue
- Beau Webster is available after the Test duty release
Melbourne Renegades
- Tom Rogers is out injured
- Caleb Jewell is available for selection
- Full squad otherwise fit
Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades Head-to-Head Records
| Category | Record |
|---|---|
| Total Matches | 22 |
| Hurricanes Wins | 13 |
| Renegades Wins | 9 |
| Matches in Hobart | Multiple since 2017 |
| Last REN Win Here | 2017 |
Venue location skews results heavily toward the home team across eight years of data.
The Hurricanes’ six consecutive wins at Bellerive show condition mastery trumping opponent quality.
Renegades players lack exposure to venue-specific conditions, creating systematic disadvantage.
One-sided trends indicate venue characteristics favor the home team’s adapted strategies.
Hurricane batters know when the pitch slows for acceleration.
Their bowlers understand wind patterns for swing bowling. These venue advantages outweigh general form or skill metrics.
Last Five Matches
| Date | Result |
|---|---|
| 21-Dec-2025 | Hurricanes won by 7 wickets (with 37 balls remaining) |
| 14-Jan-2025 | Hurricanes won by 4 wickets (with 2 balls remaining) |
| 19-Dec-2024 | Renegades won by 6 wickets (with 66 balls remaining) |
| 04-Jan-2024 | Hurricanes won by 6 wickets (with 8 balls remaining) |
| 23-Dec-2023 | Hurricanes won by 6 wickets (with 6 balls remaining) |
Top Picks For The Match
| Player | Team | Role | Condition Advantage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Ellis | HUR | Bowler | Exploits crosswind swing and knows death-overs pitch behavior |
| Ben McDermott | HUR | Wicketkeeper-Batter | Navigates early movement, accelerates when pitch flattens |
| Nikhil Chaudhary | HUR | Batter | Understands venue timing for aggression after powerplay |
| Tim Seifert | REN | Wicketkeeper-Batter | Technical ability handles early seam movement |
| Mitchell Owen | HUR | Batter | Familiar with crosswind impact on shot selection |
| Matthew Wade | HUR | Wicketkeeper-Batter | Experienced finisher on flattening pitch surface |
| Beau Webster | HUR | All-rounder | Uses long boundaries for spin bowling control |
| Oliver Peake | REN | Batter | Aggressive style suits middle-overs scoring conditions |
Conclusion:
Venue-specific fantasy selection prioritizes Hurricanes players with Bellerive experience.
Nathan Ellis, McDermott, and Chaudhary understand condition-based execution better than their opponents.
Wind patterns and pitch evolution create predictable scoring windows that these players exploit effectively.
The pitch-weather combination favors opening bowlers during the powerplay and middle-order batters after the initial movement settles.
Crosswinds amplify swing bowling effectiveness during evening conditions. Fantasy teams need players who handle both phases of pitch behavior.
Safe picks include venue-familiar Hurricanes players across all roles. Risky selections involve Renegades players lacking condition adaptation history.
Seifert provides the only reliable away team option based on technical ability, handling early movement.
Build Dream11 teams around players demonstrating venue mastery rather than general form metrics.
Bellerive’s unique characteristics create predictable fantasy patterns favoring home team selections.
Weather stability ensures full match completion with standard condition advantages applying throughout.
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